Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 51.8% vs Ott 55.4% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 18-11 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Ott 75.1%
Defensive zone
Ott 69.3%
Neutral zone
Ott 75.0%
Result
Steve Ott favored at 72.7%
27.3%
72.7%
Koivu
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
11
(29 meetings)
18
11
Koivu
Ott
Last 10: Koivu 5-5 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
7
4
Koivu
Ott
11 total
Defensive Zone
Even
6
6
Koivu
Ott
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
5
1
Koivu
Ott
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (3,221)
57.2% (2,802)
-5.3%
Power Play
59.3% (437)
55.4% (567)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (764)
49.9% (853)
-1.9%
On even strength, Ott has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Koivu is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,153).
Koivu shoots left. Ott is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,552).
Home / Away
Koivu
Ott
Home
53.5% (2,281)
56.8% (2,130)
Away
50.1% (2,209)
54.2% (2,103)
By Period
Koivu
Ott
P1
51.1%
56.7%
P2
52.6%
53.9%
P3
51.8%
55.7%
OT
52.3%
60.8%
Final 5 min
55.9%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.8%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2012 | 3 | 09:49 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 3 | 05:17 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 3 | 00:28 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 2 | 18:46 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 2 | 02:01 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 1, 2012 | 3 | 19:25 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 1, 2012 | 2 | 11:24 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 3 | 19:25 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 3 | 18:16 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 2 | 19:47 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 1 | 05:10 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Oct 21, 2011 | 3 | 16:38 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Oct 21, 2011 | 2 | 14:39 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Oct 21, 2011 | 1 | 03:46 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Apr 3, 2011 | 3 | 19:11 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Apr 3, 2011 | 3 | 18:59 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Apr 3, 2011 | 3 | 14:08 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Apr 3, 2011 | 2 | 02:08 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 23, 2011 | 3 | 11:12 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |