Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopecky on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Koivu wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kopecky shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 52.6% vs Kopecky 44.3% (+10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopecky 78.9%
Defensive zone
Koivu 86.4%
Neutral zone
Kopecky 52.3%
Result
Saku Koivu favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Koivu
Kopecky
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Koivu
Kopecky
Last 7: Koivu 3-4 Kopecky
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopecky
0
3
Koivu
Kopecky
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
2
1
Koivu
Kopecky
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
0
Koivu
Kopecky
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Kopecky
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (873)
44.0% (225)
+8.7%
Power Play
63.1% (168)
38.0% (50)
+25.1%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (267)
25.0% (8)
+22.9%
On power play, Koivu has a +25.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kopecky shoots left. Koivu is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (960).
Koivu shoots left. Kopecky is 42.2% vs left-shot opponents (204).
Home / Away
Koivu
Kopecky
Home
56.7% (601)
46.7% (150)
Away
49.6% (738)
37.3% (134)
By Period
Koivu
Kopecky
P1
51.2%
41.1%
P2
55.2%
38.2%
P3
51.3%
46.7%
OT
62.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
56.5%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
52.8%
Kopecky
38.0%▼
47.5%
42.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2011 | 2 | 07:53 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 1 | 19:00 | Offensive | Tomas Kopecky |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 1 | 18:52 | Defensive | Tomas Kopecky |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 1 | 03:13 | Offensive | Tomas Kopecky |
| Jan 2, 2011 | 2 | 02:11 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 3 | 03:04 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 1 | 00:47 | Offensive | Tomas Kopecky |