Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopecky on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 51.8% vs Kopecky 47.2% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopecky 79.7%
Defensive zone
Koivu 76.3%
Neutral zone
Kopecky 52.7%
Result
Tomas Kopecky favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Koivu
Kopecky
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Koivu
Kopecky
Last 7: Koivu 3-4 Kopecky
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopecky
0
3
Koivu
Kopecky
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
2
1
Koivu
Kopecky
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
0
Koivu
Kopecky
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Kopecky
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (3,221)
47.3% (438)
+4.6%
Power Play
59.3% (437)
42.3% (142)
+17.0%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (764)
51.3% (80)
-3.3%
On power play, Koivu has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kopecky shoots left. Koivu is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,153).
Koivu shoots left. Kopecky is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (453).
Home / Away
Koivu
Kopecky
Home
53.5% (2,281)
51.9% (364)
Away
50.1% (2,209)
40.7% (305)
By Period
Koivu
Kopecky
P1
51.1%
47.4%
P2
52.6%
42.5%
P3
51.8%
49.3%
OT
52.3%
58.8%
Final 5 min
55.9%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.8%
Kopecky
38.0%▼
47.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2011 | 2 | 07:53 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 1 | 19:00 | Offensive | Tomas Kopecky |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 1 | 18:52 | Defensive | Tomas Kopecky |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 1 | 03:13 | Offensive | Tomas Kopecky |
| Jan 2, 2011 | 2 | 02:11 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 3 | 03:04 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 1 | 00:47 | Offensive | Tomas Kopecky |