Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Koivu wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — Plekanec shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 52.2% vs Plekanec 49.2% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 53.1%
Defensive zone
Koivu 64.6%
Neutral zone
Koivu 66.3%
Result
Saku Koivu favored at 58.9%
58.9%
41.1%
Koivu
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Koivu
Plekanec
Last 6: Koivu 4-2 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
1
2
Koivu
Plekanec
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
3
0
Koivu
Plekanec
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (805)
49.8% (1,095)
+2.4%
Power Play
59.9% (152)
49.4% (174)
+10.5%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (239)
47.3% (364)
+1.7%
On power play, Koivu has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Koivu is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (872).
Koivu shoots left. Plekanec is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,041).
Home / Away
Koivu
Plekanec
Home
54.0% (639)
49.4% (789)
Away
50.7% (594)
48.8% (889)
By Period
Koivu
Plekanec
P1
52.7%
51.9%
P2
50.4%
48.8%
P3
54.1%
47.8%
OT
47.8%
39.6%
Final 5 min
57.9%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
52.4%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2011 | 3 | 16:06 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 30, 2011 | 3 | 09:59 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 30, 2011 | 1 | 16:51 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Nov 30, 2011 | 1 | 15:02 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 30, 2011 | 1 | 14:55 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Nov 30, 2011 | 1 | 13:00 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |