Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Plekanec on offensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 51.8% vs Plekanec 50.1% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Plekanec leads 15-10 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Plekanec 56.0%
Defensive zone
Koivu 50.2%
Neutral zone
Plekanec 50.9%
Result
Tomas Plekanec favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Koivu
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
15
(25 meetings)
10
15
Koivu
Plekanec
Last 10: Koivu 4-6 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
1
9
Koivu
Plekanec
10 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Koivu
Plekanec
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
5
2
Koivu
Plekanec
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (3,221)
50.8% (8,558)
+1.1%
Power Play
59.3% (437)
51.3% (1,151)
+8.0%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (764)
46.0% (1,924)
+2.0%
On power play, Koivu has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Koivu is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,153).
Koivu shoots left. Plekanec is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,049).
Home / Away
Koivu
Plekanec
Home
53.5% (2,281)
51.1% (5,909)
Away
50.1% (2,209)
49.1% (5,818)
By Period
Koivu
Plekanec
P1
51.1%
52.5%
P2
52.6%
48.9%
P3
51.8%
49.0%
OT
52.3%
51.1%
Final 5 min
55.9%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.8%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2014 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 5, 2014 | 3 | 17:48 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Mar 5, 2014 | 3 | 05:13 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Mar 5, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Mar 5, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 5, 2014 | 1 | 13:45 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Mar 5, 2014 | 1 | 08:23 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 5, 2014 | 1 | 08:20 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Oct 24, 2013 | 3 | 12:12 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Nov 30, 2011 | 3 | 16:06 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 30, 2011 | 3 | 09:59 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 30, 2011 | 1 | 16:51 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Nov 30, 2011 | 1 | 15:02 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 30, 2011 | 1 | 14:55 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Nov 30, 2011 | 1 | 13:00 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 22, 2011 | OT | 02:23 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Jan 22, 2011 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 22, 2011 | 3 | 18:33 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Jan 22, 2011 | 3 | 13:12 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Jan 22, 2011 | 3 | 12:57 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |