Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 52.6% vs Bozak 54.3% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 51.3%
Defensive zone
Koivu 82.0%
Neutral zone
Koivu 62.7%
Result
Saku Koivu favored at 70.4%
70.4%
29.6%
Koivu
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Koivu
Bozak
Last 6: Koivu 1-5 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
1
Koivu
Bozak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
2
Koivu
Bozak
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
2
Koivu
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (873)
54.2% (962)
-1.5%
Power Play
63.1% (168)
57.9% (266)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (267)
52.1% (188)
-4.2%
On power play, Koivu has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Koivu is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (379).
Koivu shoots left. Bozak is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (922).
Home / Away
Koivu
Bozak
Home
56.7% (601)
58.6% (732)
Away
49.6% (738)
50.5% (709)
By Period
Koivu
Bozak
P1
51.2%
54.1%
P2
55.2%
55.0%
P3
51.3%
54.1%
OT
62.5%
65.2%
Final 5 min
56.5%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
52.8%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2011 | 3 | 14:27 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 3 | 11:40 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 3 | 11:40 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 2 | 15:00 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 2 | 07:59 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 1 | 16:51 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |