Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 51.8% vs Bozak 53.4% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Bozak 55.8%
Defensive zone
Koivu 80.4%
Neutral zone
Koivu 62.2%
Result
Saku Koivu favored at 62.3%
62.3%
37.7%
Koivu
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
11
(16 meetings)
5
11
Koivu
Bozak
Last 10: Koivu 4-6 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
4
Koivu
Bozak
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
2
3
Koivu
Bozak
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
2
4
Koivu
Bozak
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (3,221)
53.7% (9,596)
-1.8%
Power Play
59.3% (437)
55.2% (1,990)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (764)
48.0% (1,094)
+0.0%
On power play, Koivu has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Koivu is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (1,337).
Koivu shoots left. Bozak is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,417).
Home / Away
Koivu
Bozak
Home
53.5% (2,281)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
50.1% (2,209)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Koivu
Bozak
P1
51.1%
53.2%
P2
52.6%
52.8%
P3
51.8%
54.5%
OT
52.3%
52.9%
Final 5 min
55.9%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.8%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2014 | 2 | 19:08 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 10, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 10, 2014 | 1 | 19:21 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 10, 2014 | 1 | 12:59 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 10, 2014 | 1 | 00:12 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 10, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 22, 2013 | 3 | 18:23 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 22, 2013 | 2 | 13:02 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 22, 2013 | 1 | 00:57 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 27, 2011 | 2 | 11:28 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 3 | 14:27 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 3 | 11:40 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 3 | 11:40 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 2 | 15:00 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 2 | 07:59 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 1 | 16:51 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |