Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Koivu wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Sobotka shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 52.6% vs Sobotka 51.3% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sobotka 52.3%
Defensive zone
Koivu 66.4%
Neutral zone
Koivu 54.6%
Result
Saku Koivu favored at 66.4%
66.4%
33.6%
Koivu
Sobotka
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Koivu
Sobotka
Last 5: Koivu 3-2 Sobotka
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
3
2
Koivu
Sobotka
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Sobotka
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (873)
55.4% (323)
-2.7%
Power Play
63.1% (168)
42.9% (28)
+20.2%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (267)
38.5% (65)
+9.4%
On power play, Koivu has a +20.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sobotka shoots left. Koivu is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (960).
Koivu shoots left. Sobotka is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Home / Away
Koivu
Sobotka
Home
56.7% (601)
52.1% (213)
Away
49.6% (738)
51.0% (206)
By Period
Koivu
Sobotka
P1
51.2%
51.2%
P2
55.2%
49.0%
P3
51.3%
54.0%
OT
62.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
56.5%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
52.8%
Sobotka
50.0%▼
52.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2011 | 3 | 16:05 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 3 | 06:37 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Jan 12, 2011 | 3 | 07:24 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 12, 2011 | 2 | 18:08 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 12, 2011 | 2 | 11:04 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |