Scouting Report
Vladimir Sobotka holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Sobotka on offensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 51.8% vs Sobotka 55.8% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Sobotka leads 19-15 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 51.1%
Defensive zone
Koivu 64.1%
Neutral zone
Koivu 57.1%
Result
Saku Koivu favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
Koivu
Sobotka
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
19
(34 meetings)
15
19
Koivu
Sobotka
Last 10: Koivu 3-7 Sobotka
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sobotka
4
7
Koivu
Sobotka
11 total
Defensive Zone
Even
8
8
Koivu
Sobotka
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sobotka
3
4
Koivu
Sobotka
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Sobotka
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (3,221)
56.9% (2,613)
-5.0%
Power Play
59.3% (437)
57.0% (223)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (764)
50.6% (447)
-2.6%
On even strength, Sobotka has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sobotka shoots left. Koivu is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,153).
Koivu shoots left. Sobotka is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,145).
Home / Away
Koivu
Sobotka
Home
53.5% (2,281)
58.7% (1,601)
Away
50.1% (2,209)
53.5% (1,685)
By Period
Koivu
Sobotka
P1
51.1%
56.2%
P2
52.6%
56.3%
P3
51.8%
55.3%
OT
52.3%
61.4%
Final 5 min
55.9%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.8%
Sobotka
50.0%▼
52.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2014 | 3 | 19:26 | Offensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 3 | 18:52 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 3 | 02:14 | Offensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 2 | 17:09 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 2 | 09:13 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 2 | 04:59 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 1 | 17:21 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 3 | 08:16 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 2 | 00:39 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 2 | 00:31 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 1 | 03:32 | Offensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 1 | 00:52 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 16, 2013 | OT | 00:30 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 3 | 10:36 | Offensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 3 | 08:11 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 3 | 02:11 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 2 | 12:31 | Neutral | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 3 | 08:16 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |