Scouting Report
Sam Bennett holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Caggiula on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Caggiula wins 41.3% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Caggiula 43.5% vs Bennett 46.5% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Bennett leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Bennett 52.5%
Defensive zone
Bennett 54.1%
Neutral zone
Bennett 52.4%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Caggiula
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Caggiula
Bennett
Last 10: Caggiula 5-5 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
1
2
Caggiula
Bennett
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
1
2
Caggiula
Bennett
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Caggiula
3
1
Caggiula
Bennett
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Caggiula
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
40.6% (276)
46.3% (737)
-5.7%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
40.0% (25)
+26.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
46.9% (49)
+3.1%
On power play, Caggiula has a +26.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Caggiula is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (172).
Caggiula shoots left. Bennett is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (551).
Home / Away
Caggiula
Bennett
Home
46.9% (145)
48.1% (437)
Away
35.3% (139)
43.9% (374)
By Period
Caggiula
Bennett
P1
41.1%
47.3%
P2
40.2%
44.2%
P3
43.0%
46.9%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.4%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Caggiula
38.0%▲
36.5%
41.2%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2017 | 2 | 17:44 | Offensive | Drake Caggiula |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 2 | 03:57 | Neutral | Drake Caggiula |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 1 | 14:08 | Neutral | Drake Caggiula |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 1 | 03:58 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 1 | 01:17 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 1 | 01:13 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 14, 2017 | OT | 01:28 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 3 | 02:03 | Defensive | Drake Caggiula |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 2 | 16:50 | Neutral | Drake Caggiula |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 1 | 02:02 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |