Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Bennett on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Bennett wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bennett 46.6% vs Couturier 55.6% (-9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 51.7%
Defensive zone
Couturier 60.8%
Neutral zone
Bennett 50.6%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Bennett
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Bennett
Couturier
Last 6: Bennett 3-3 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
2
1
Bennett
Couturier
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
2
Bennett
Couturier
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bennett
1
0
Bennett
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bennett
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (909)
55.1% (1,008)
-8.6%
Power Play
43.1% (51)
64.1% (142)
-21.0%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (13)
53.3% (45)
-14.8%
On power play, Couturier has a +21.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Bennett is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (657).
Bennett shoots left. Couturier is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (790).
Home / Away
Bennett
Couturier
Home
45.4% (449)
58.1% (609)
Away
46.9% (524)
53.9% (586)
By Period
Bennett
Couturier
P1
49.6%
55.3%
P2
43.7%
55.8%
P3
45.1%
57.4%
OT
57.1%
45.0%
Final 5 min
43.4%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
46.2%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2025 | 3 | 02:19 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 13, 2025 | 2 | 08:29 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 13, 2025 | 2 | 06:57 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 13, 2025 | 2 | 06:50 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 1 | 16:23 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 02:40 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |