Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Bennett wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bennett 47.2% vs Nosek 53.6% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Nosek leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Bennett 88.1%
Defensive zone
Bennett 60.1%
Neutral zone
Bennett 69.0%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 72.0%
72.0%
28.0%
Bennett
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Bennett
Nosek
Last 10: Bennett 2-8 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
2
1
Bennett
Nosek
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
3
Bennett
Nosek
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
4
Bennett
Nosek
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bennett
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (5,683)
54.9% (2,674)
-8.1%
Power Play
53.7% (555)
44.7% (47)
+9.0%
Penalty Kill
41.8% (256)
47.4% (424)
-5.6%
On power play, Bennett has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Bennett is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,232).
Bennett shoots left. Nosek is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,942).
Home / Away
Bennett
Nosek
Home
48.4% (3,262)
52.7% (1,631)
Away
45.9% (3,232)
54.8% (1,514)
By Period
Bennett
Nosek
P1
48.0%
52.3%
P2
46.5%
54.0%
P3
46.9%
54.6%
OT
52.5%
75.0%
Final 5 min
45.2%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.2%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2024 | 2 | 05:16 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 2 | 15:20 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 1 | 00:04 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 17:50 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 07:56 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 3 | 01:36 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 2 | 10:11 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Oct 27, 2021 | 2 | 14:18 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |