Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Bennett wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bennett 47.3% vs Nosek 58.0% (-12.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 95.1%
Defensive zone
Bennett 72.3%
Neutral zone
Bennett 74.6%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 79.2%
79.2%
20.8%
Bennett
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Bennett
Nosek
Last 8: Bennett 1-7 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bennett
Nosek
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
2
Bennett
Nosek
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
4
Bennett
Nosek
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bennett
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (766)
59.7% (469)
-11.5%
Power Play
45.1% (82)
100.0% (4)
-54.9%
Penalty Kill
33.9% (56)
56.5% (124)
-22.6%
On power play, Nosek has a +54.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Bennett is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (576).
Bennett shoots left. Nosek is 63.4% vs left-shot opponents (322).
Home / Away
Bennett
Nosek
Home
49.1% (458)
59.0% (295)
Away
44.8% (446)
59.6% (302)
By Period
Bennett
Nosek
P1
47.9%
56.3%
P2
47.2%
61.9%
P3
46.4%
59.2%
OT
20.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
40.5%
61.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.0%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 2 | 15:20 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 1 | 00:04 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 17:50 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 07:56 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 3 | 01:36 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 2 | 10:11 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |