Scouting Report
Sam Bennett holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Bennett wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bennett 48.3% vs Girgensons 45.8% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 83.4%
Defensive zone
Girgensons 63.0%
Neutral zone
Bennett 57.1%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 57.1%
57.1%
42.9%
Bennett
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Bennett
Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bennett
1
0
Bennett
Girgensons
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bennett
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (780)
43.2% (146)
+3.2%
Power Play
57.3% (150)
50.0% (2)
+7.3%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (46)
44.8% (29)
+3.0%
On power play, Bennett has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Bennett is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (652).
Bennett shoots left. Girgensons is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (119).
Home / Away
Bennett
Girgensons
Home
50.3% (519)
40.3% (72)
Away
45.7% (457)
45.7% (105)
By Period
Bennett
Girgensons
P1
47.5%
43.8%
P2
46.6%
44.6%
P3
49.8%
42.5%
Final 5 min
44.2%
34.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
48.2%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
43.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 12:19 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |