Scouting Report
Zemgus Girgensons holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Bennett on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Bennett wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bennett 46.6% vs Girgensons 48.5% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 51.8%
Defensive zone
Girgensons 72.7%
Neutral zone
Girgensons 52.2%
Result
Zemgus Girgensons favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Bennett
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Bennett
Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
5
0
Bennett
Girgensons
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Girgensons
0
2
Bennett
Girgensons
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bennett
1
0
Bennett
Girgensons
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bennett
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (909)
47.2% (127)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (13)
50.0% (2)
-11.5%
On penalty kill, Girgensons has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Bennett is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (657).
Bennett shoots left. Girgensons is 42.7% vs left-shot opponents (82).
Home / Away
Bennett
Girgensons
Home
45.4% (449)
50.0% (80)
Away
46.9% (524)
42.9% (49)
By Period
Bennett
Girgensons
P1
49.6%
40.5%
P2
43.7%
54.3%
P3
45.1%
45.7%
Final 5 min
43.4%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
46.2%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2025 | 3 | 00:24 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 3 | 09:13 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 1 | 04:09 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 1 | 01:46 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |