Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Carrick on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kindel wins 41.0% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kindel 45.3% vs Carrick 53.8% (-10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kindel 85.9%
Defensive zone
Kindel 51.9%
Neutral zone
Kindel 69.0%
Result
Ben Kindel favored at 67.1%
67.1%
32.9%
Kindel
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Kindel
Carrick
Last 9: Kindel 3-6 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kindel
Carrick
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
1
2
Kindel
Carrick
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
1
3
Kindel
Carrick
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kindel
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (487)
55.1% (439)
-12.0%
Power Play
55.3% (38)
66.7% (3)
-11.4%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (15)
49.1% (53)
+10.9%
On even strength, Carrick has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Kindel is 41.0% vs right-shot opponents (173).
Kindel shoots right. Carrick is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Home / Away
Kindel
Carrick
Home
46.1% (267)
58.2% (225)
Away
42.9% (273)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Kindel
Carrick
P1
41.5%
56.7%
P2
45.8%
52.8%
P3
42.6%
54.4%
Final 5 min
39.3%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kindel
36.0%▼
38.5%
44.4%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 17:56 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 10:13 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 01:40 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 16:38 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 02:37 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 18:45 | Defensive | Ben Kindel |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 18:36 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 14:12 | Neutral | Ben Kindel |
| Oct 7, 2025 | 2 | 01:34 | Offensive | Ben Kindel |