Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Dewar on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 45.1% vs Carrick 49.5% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carrick 68.8%
Defensive zone
Carrick 80.4%
Neutral zone
Carrick 69.8%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 74.2%
25.8%
74.2%
Dewar
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Dewar
Carrick
Last 7: Dewar 5-2 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dewar
1
0
Dewar
Carrick
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dewar
2
1
Dewar
Carrick
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dewar
2
1
Dewar
Carrick
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (443)
49.2% (307)
-3.8%
Power Play
75.0% (8)
66.7% (6)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
28.8% (52)
48.2% (56)
-19.4%
On penalty kill, Carrick has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Dewar is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (170).
Dewar shoots left. Carrick is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Dewar
Carrick
Home
43.3% (238)
50.3% (175)
Away
44.9% (265)
48.5% (194)
By Period
Dewar
Carrick
P1
41.7%
41.0%
P2
46.1%
51.2%
P3
44.4%
55.3%
Final 5 min
44.4%
37.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
44.1%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2022 | 3 | 18:12 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 3 | 10:19 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 3 | 02:27 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 2 | 15:29 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 2 | 08:45 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 13:34 | Offensive | Connor Dewar |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 15:04 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |