Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.3% vs 51.4%). Look for Carrick on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Carter wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 51.2% vs Carrick 50.4% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carrick 62.2%
Defensive zone
Carrick 53.3%
Neutral zone
Carrick 58.9%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 56.9%
43.1%
56.9%
Carter
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Carter
Carrick
Last 5: Carter 1-4 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Carter
Carrick
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
3
Carter
Carrick
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (935)
51.4% (37)
-1.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Carter is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (330).
Carter shoots right. Carrick is 70.0% vs right-shot opponents (10).
Home / Away
Carter
Carrick
Home
52.4% (638)
42.9% (7)
Away
50.0% (546)
53.3% (30)
By Period
Carter
Carrick
P1
49.6%
54.5%
P2
50.9%
54.5%
P3
53.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
50.0%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
51.3%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2018 | 3 | 03:55 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 6, 2018 | 2 | 09:03 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 6, 2018 | 2 | 08:52 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 6, 2018 | 1 | 07:54 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 6, 2018 | 1 | 04:39 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |