Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Sam Carrick
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 51.3% vs Carrick 49.5% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 87.3%
Defensive zone
Carrick 71.0%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 63.3%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 66.0%
66.0%
34.0%
Kotkaniemi
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Kotkaniemi
Carrick
Last 5: Kotkaniemi 4-1 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
2
0
Kotkaniemi
Carrick
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Kotkaniemi
Carrick
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
2
0
Kotkaniemi
Carrick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (637)
49.2% (307)
+2.6%
Power Play
48.2% (56)
66.7% (6)
-18.5%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
48.2% (56)
-5.3%
On power play, Carrick has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Kotkaniemi is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (228).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Carrick is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Carrick
Home
53.1% (339)
50.3% (175)
Away
49.9% (361)
48.5% (194)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Carrick
P1
48.3%
41.0%
P2
55.0%
51.2%
P3
50.4%
55.3%
Final 5 min
55.0%
37.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.4%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 06:23 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 06:18 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 11:43 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 2 | 03:34 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 1 | 07:56 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |