Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Sam Carrick
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kotkaniemi on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 49.2% vs Carrick 52.1% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Kotkaniemi leads 16-4 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 66.9%
Defensive zone
Carrick 92.8%
Neutral zone
Carrick 78.0%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 59.3%
40.7%
59.3%
Kotkaniemi
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
4
(20 meetings)
16
4
Kotkaniemi
Carrick
Last 10: Kotkaniemi 8-2 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
10
0
Kotkaniemi
Carrick
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
1
4
Kotkaniemi
Carrick
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
5
0
Kotkaniemi
Carrick
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (3,852)
52.1% (2,513)
-3.1%
Power Play
51.3% (351)
61.3% (75)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (35)
50.7% (430)
-5.0%
On power play, Carrick has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Kotkaniemi is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,454).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Carrick is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,179).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Carrick
Home
49.7% (2,197)
51.2% (1,441)
Away
48.7% (2,041)
53.0% (1,577)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Carrick
P1
49.9%
51.8%
P2
50.4%
52.2%
P3
47.2%
52.4%
Final 5 min
49.6%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
49.2%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 02:40 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 15:37 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 06:48 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 06:28 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 13:00 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 03:33 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 19:35 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 3 | 17:27 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 3 | 17:24 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 3 | 01:04 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 02:19 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 09:13 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 06:43 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 06:39 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 1 | 03:21 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 06:23 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 06:18 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 11:43 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 2 | 03:34 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 1 | 07:56 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |