Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Carrick on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Doan 49.1% vs Carrick 53.0% (-11.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Doan 88.4%
Defensive zone
Carrick 60.5%
Neutral zone
Doan 67.0%
Result
Josh Doan favored at 57.4%
57.4%
42.6%
Doan
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Doan
Carrick
Last 7: Doan 2-5 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Doan
Carrick
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
1
3
Doan
Carrick
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Doan
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Doan
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (11)
53.9% (521)
-8.4%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
57.1% (35)
-57.1%
On power play, Carrick has a +57.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Doan is 28.6% vs right-shot opponents (7).
Doan shoots right. Carrick is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (223).
Home / Away
Doan
Carrick
Home
30.0% (10)
52.7% (408)
Away
100.0% (2)
54.1% (377)
By Period
Doan
Carrick
P1
50.0%
51.4%
P2
50.0%
56.6%
P3
0.0%
52.1%
Final 5 min
0.0%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Doan
40.0%▬
38.9%
41.7%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2024 | 3 | 15:45 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 2 | 13:23 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 2 | 13:17 | Offensive | Josh Doan |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 2 | 10:26 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 1 | 17:14 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 1 | 16:02 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 1 | 05:31 | Defensive | Josh Doan |