Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Carrick on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 49.4% vs Carrick 50.9% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couture 62.4%
Defensive zone
Couture 76.0%
Neutral zone
Couture 67.6%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 64.5%
64.5%
35.5%
Couture
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Couture
Carrick
Last 5: Couture 0-5 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
3
Couture
Carrick
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
2
Couture
Carrick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (714)
51.9% (54)
-1.1%
Power Play
51.9% (79)
66.7% (6)
-14.8%
Penalty Kill
37.4% (107)
33.3% (3)
+4.1%
On power play, Carrick has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Couture is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (225).
Couture shoots left. Carrick is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (41).
Home / Away
Couture
Carrick
Home
47.6% (456)
48.7% (39)
Away
51.1% (444)
58.3% (24)
By Period
Couture
Carrick
P1
50.8%
68.2%
P2
48.1%
52.6%
P3
48.9%
36.4%
Final 5 min
46.0%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
49.3%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2021 | 2 | 09:31 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 2 | 09:25 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 1 | 03:35 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 2 | 03:46 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 1 | 05:55 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |