Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Carrick on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Couture wins 45.3% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 47.6% vs Carrick 49.5% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couture 78.6%
Defensive zone
Couture 61.7%
Neutral zone
Couture 65.9%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 64.7%
64.7%
35.3%
Couture
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
7
(7 meetings)
0
7
Couture
Carrick
Last 7: Couture 0-7 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Couture
Carrick
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
5
Couture
Carrick
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Couture
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (1,083)
49.2% (307)
+0.0%
Power Play
56.7% (60)
66.7% (6)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (206)
48.2% (56)
-12.8%
On penalty kill, Carrick has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Couture is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (492).
Couture shoots left. Carrick is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Couture
Carrick
Home
49.6% (713)
50.3% (175)
Away
45.0% (636)
48.5% (194)
By Period
Couture
Carrick
P1
47.2%
41.0%
P2
45.0%
51.2%
P3
50.0%
55.3%
Final 5 min
42.8%
37.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
47.4%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2023 | 2 | 15:23 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 2 | 08:34 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 3 | 02:12 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 2 | 02:03 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 2 | 01:57 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 1 | 11:20 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 1 | 05:59 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |