Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Carrick on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krebs 46.8% vs Carrick 53.0% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krebs 77.4%
Defensive zone
Carrick 51.2%
Neutral zone
Krebs 64.8%
Result
Peyton Krebs favored at 57.7%
57.7%
42.3%
Krebs
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Krebs
Carrick
Last 9: Krebs 3-6 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
4
Krebs
Carrick
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Krebs
3
2
Krebs
Carrick
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krebs
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (542)
53.9% (521)
-6.7%
Power Play
54.2% (24)
57.1% (35)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
31.3% (48)
51.5% (229)
-20.2%
On penalty kill, Carrick has a +20.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Krebs is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (256).
Krebs shoots left. Carrick is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Krebs
Carrick
Home
45.5% (312)
52.7% (408)
Away
47.0% (302)
54.1% (377)
By Period
Krebs
Carrick
P1
46.6%
51.4%
P2
42.7%
56.6%
P3
48.6%
52.1%
Final 5 min
49.4%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
46.3%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2024 | 3 | 19:51 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 3 | 15:18 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 01:33 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 08:42 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 13:53 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 2 | 14:34 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 1 | 06:02 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 11:57 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 11:47 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |