Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Carrick on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krebs 49.2% vs Carrick 53.7% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krebs 87.8%
Defensive zone
Krebs 75.1%
Neutral zone
Krebs 76.9%
Result
Peyton Krebs favored at 76.5%
76.5%
23.5%
Krebs
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Krebs
Carrick
Last 8: Krebs 1-7 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
2
Krebs
Carrick
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
1
5
Krebs
Carrick
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krebs
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (560)
53.8% (654)
-4.3%
Power Play
52.6% (38)
0.0% (2)
+52.6%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (67)
63.9% (36)
-20.6%
On power play, Krebs has a +52.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Krebs is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (232).
Krebs shoots left. Carrick is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (503).
Home / Away
Krebs
Carrick
Home
49.4% (314)
50.0% (328)
Away
48.7% (351)
58.0% (364)
By Period
Krebs
Carrick
P1
47.0%
56.7%
P2
50.5%
51.1%
P3
50.0%
54.8%
Final 5 min
48.9%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
49.0%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | 2 | 05:29 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 17:38 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 17:33 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 01:46 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 11, 2024 | 3 | 01:31 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 11, 2024 | 2 | 11:49 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 11, 2024 | 2 | 03:06 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 01:24 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |