Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Carrick wins 57.1% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carrick 53.8% vs Pinto 50.7% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carrick 55.9%
Defensive zone
Carrick 66.8%
Neutral zone
Carrick 73.9%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 64.9%
64.9%
35.1%
Carrick
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Carrick
Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
1
0
Carrick
Pinto
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
1
0
Carrick
Pinto
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carrick
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (439)
50.2% (520)
+4.9%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
68.0% (25)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (53)
49.4% (89)
-0.3%
On even strength, Carrick has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Carrick is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Carrick shoots right. Pinto is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (174).
Home / Away
Carrick
Pinto
Home
58.2% (225)
48.8% (301)
Away
51.5% (270)
52.6% (333)
By Period
Carrick
Pinto
P1
56.7%
51.2%
P2
52.8%
48.9%
P3
54.4%
53.3%
Final 5 min
54.5%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.5%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2026 | 2 | 09:31 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 14, 2026 | 2 | 05:57 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |