Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Carrick wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carrick 53.0% vs Pinto 50.5% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pinto 65.3%
Defensive zone
Carrick 72.7%
Neutral zone
Pinto 50.9%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 58.1%
41.9%
58.1%
Carrick
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Carrick
Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
1
Carrick
Pinto
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
1
0
Carrick
Pinto
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carrick
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (521)
51.2% (463)
+2.7%
Power Play
57.1% (35)
50.0% (14)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (229)
36.8% (19)
+14.7%
On penalty kill, Carrick has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Carrick is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (223).
Carrick shoots right. Pinto is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (155).
Home / Away
Carrick
Pinto
Home
52.7% (408)
52.2% (205)
Away
54.1% (377)
49.5% (291)
By Period
Carrick
Pinto
P1
51.4%
48.7%
P2
56.6%
51.8%
P3
52.1%
51.2%
Final 5 min
57.7%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
53.4%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 07:22 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 13:09 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |