Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +20.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Carrick on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carrick 52.1% vs Eklund 36.0% (+20.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carrick 66.7%
Defensive zone
Carrick 96.4%
Neutral zone
Carrick 93.4%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 90.5%
90.5%
9.5%
Carrick
Eklund
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Carrick
Eklund
Last 5: Carrick 4-1 Eklund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eklund
0
1
Carrick
Eklund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
4
0
Carrick
Eklund
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carrick
Eklund
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (2,513)
30.6% (265)
+21.5%
Power Play
61.3% (75)
50.0% (22)
+11.3%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (430)
15.4% (13)
+35.3%
On penalty kill, Carrick has a +35.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eklund shoots left. Carrick is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,179).
Carrick shoots right. Eklund is 33.9% vs right-shot opponents (121).
Home / Away
Carrick
Eklund
Home
51.2% (1,441)
31.3% (166)
Away
53.0% (1,577)
31.3% (134)
By Period
Carrick
Eklund
P1
51.8%
29.6%
P2
52.2%
28.2%
P3
52.4%
37.2%
Final 5 min
49.6%
25.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
52.2%
Eklund
28.0%▬
29.0%
31.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 02:21 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 14:40 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 09:20 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 06:19 | Offensive | William Eklund |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 04:24 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |