Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Gionta wins 40.2% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gionta 44.2% vs Gagner 47.2% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Gagner leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Gagner 72.7%
Defensive zone
Gionta 74.6%
Neutral zone
Gionta 52.5%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Gionta
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Gionta
Gagner
Last 10: Gionta 4-6 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
1
5
Gionta
Gagner
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gionta
4
1
Gionta
Gagner
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
1
Gionta
Gagner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gionta
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
41.3% (63)
45.6% (651)
-4.3%
Power Play
51.4% (37)
53.8% (119)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (69)
0.0% (1)
+34.8%
On penalty kill, Gionta has a +34.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Gionta is 40.2% vs right-shot opponents (82).
Gionta shoots right. Gagner is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (283).
Home / Away
Gionta
Gagner
Home
40.7% (81)
47.1% (367)
Away
40.9% (88)
46.5% (404)
By Period
Gionta
Gagner
P1
38.5%
49.6%
P2
32.7%
47.9%
P3
47.9%
43.4%
OT
40.0%
43.8%
Final 5 min
35.9%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gionta
38.0%▼
42.5%
40.8%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2015 | 3 | 16:22 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 30, 2015 | 3 | 10:10 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 30, 2015 | 3 | 03:16 | Offensive | Brian Gionta |
| Mar 30, 2015 | 2 | 14:22 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 26, 2015 | OT | 00:26 | Defensive | Brian Gionta |
| Mar 26, 2015 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 3 | 19:35 | Defensive | Brian Gionta |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 3 | 19:30 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 3 | 00:59 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 2 | 17:09 | Defensive | Brian Gionta |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 2 | 09:26 | Defensive | Brian Gionta |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 1 | 03:43 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |