Scouting Report
David Steckel holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Steckel wins 55.6% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Steckel 53.4% vs Gagner 44.6% (+10.6%)
H2H factor
Gagner leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Gagner 75.6%
Defensive zone
Steckel 65.3%
Neutral zone
Gagner 55.0%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 61.4%
38.6%
61.4%
Steckel
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Steckel
Gagner
Last 10: Steckel 5-5 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
2
5
Steckel
Gagner
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
1
2
Steckel
Gagner
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steckel
3
0
Steckel
Gagner
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Steckel
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (264)
42.1% (575)
+10.9%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
55.3% (123)
-22.0%
Penalty Kill
63.0% (54)
34.9% (43)
+28.1%
On penalty kill, Steckel has a +28.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Steckel is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (108).
Steckel shoots left. Gagner is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (555).
Home / Away
Steckel
Gagner
Home
52.8% (178)
45.6% (375)
Away
56.6% (143)
42.1% (366)
By Period
Steckel
Gagner
P1
48.3%
40.1%
P2
59.8%
42.2%
P3
57.1%
48.2%
OT
0.0%
56.3%
Final 5 min
57.1%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Steckel
66.0%▲
60.5%
54.5%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2013 | 2 | 18:27 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 22, 2013 | 2 | 15:47 | Neutral | David Steckel |
| Apr 22, 2013 | 2 | 08:08 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 22, 2013 | 1 | 17:27 | Offensive | David Steckel |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 1 | 05:24 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 3 | 11:48 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 3 | 05:02 | Neutral | David Steckel |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 3 | 00:54 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 2 | 15:28 | Neutral | David Steckel |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 2 | 15:24 | Defensive | David Steckel |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 1 | 14:16 | Offensive | David Steckel |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 1 | 11:08 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 1 | 08:08 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |