Scouting Report
Eetu Luostarinen holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Luostarinen wins 45.2% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Luostarinen 48.4% vs Gagner 47.5% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 52.6%
Defensive zone
Luostarinen 59.4%
Neutral zone
Luostarinen 56.8%
Result
Eetu Luostarinen favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Luostarinen
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Luostarinen
Gagner
Last 5: Luostarinen 3-2 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
1
2
Luostarinen
Gagner
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Luostarinen
2
0
Luostarinen
Gagner
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Luostarinen
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (346)
45.4% (119)
+3.7%
Power Play
25.0% (8)
50.0% (40)
-25.0%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (44)
42.9% (21)
+0.3%
On power play, Gagner has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Luostarinen is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (126).
Luostarinen shoots left. Gagner is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (144).
Home / Away
Luostarinen
Gagner
Home
55.3% (208)
49.0% (104)
Away
40.0% (190)
42.1% (76)
By Period
Luostarinen
Gagner
P1
46.7%
44.4%
P2
49.3%
44.6%
P3
47.8%
49.3%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.4%
58.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Luostarinen
44.0%▼
47.5%
48.0%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2021 | 3 | 00:38 | Defensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Feb 9, 2021 | 2 | 11:25 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 9, 2021 | 1 | 04:15 | Offensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Feb 7, 2021 | 2 | 15:15 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 7, 2021 | 2 | 05:55 | Defensive | Eetu Luostarinen |