Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Sam Gagner
2014-15 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Pageau wins 46.2% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 49.3% vs Gagner 47.2% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 67.9%
Defensive zone
Pageau 88.9%
Neutral zone
Pageau 57.1%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Pageau
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Pageau
Gagner
Last 6: Pageau 4-2 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
1
2
Pageau
Gagner
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
0
Pageau
Gagner
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Gagner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (536)
45.6% (651)
+5.9%
Power Play
61.5% (13)
53.8% (119)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
38.6% (132)
0.0% (1)
+38.6%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +38.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Pageau is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Pageau shoots right. Gagner is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (283).
Home / Away
Pageau
Gagner
Home
51.0% (347)
47.1% (367)
Away
47.3% (334)
46.5% (404)
By Period
Pageau
Gagner
P1
54.4%
49.6%
P2
47.3%
47.9%
P3
45.8%
43.4%
OT
66.7%
43.8%
Final 5 min
47.2%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
49.2%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2015 | 2 | 09:37 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 31, 2015 | 2 | 03:53 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 31, 2015 | 1 | 05:31 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 3 | 01:26 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 2 | 18:47 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 2 | 01:55 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |