Scouting Report
Kyle Turris holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Turris wins 54.9% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turris 50.0% vs Gagner 44.4% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Turris 88.5%
Defensive zone
Turris 61.1%
Neutral zone
Turris 87.5%
Result
Kyle Turris favored at 77.3%
77.3%
22.7%
Turris
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Turris
Gagner
Last 5: Turris 4-1 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Turris
2
0
Turris
Gagner
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Turris
Gagner
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Turris
1
0
Turris
Gagner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turris
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (452)
43.1% (758)
+8.0%
Power Play
48.1% (79)
50.3% (147)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
34.6% (26)
-14.6%
On penalty kill, Gagner has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Turris is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (173).
Turris shoots right. Gagner is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Home / Away
Turris
Gagner
Home
52.9% (261)
47.4% (468)
Away
47.3% (279)
40.3% (467)
By Period
Turris
Gagner
P1
49.7%
43.8%
P2
52.7%
43.8%
P3
47.3%
44.0%
OT
60.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
52.3%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
50.0%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2011 | 2 | 09:37 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 2 | 01:54 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 1 | 14:00 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 1 | 01:53 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 25, 2011 | 1 | 01:34 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |