Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 49.3% vs Gagner 48.1% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 51.8%
Defensive zone
Eller 78.6%
Neutral zone
Eller 61.2%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 67.4%
67.4%
32.6%
Eller
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Eller
Gagner
Last 7: Eller 6-1 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Eller
Gagner
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
4
0
Eller
Gagner
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Gagner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (749)
47.3% (395)
+2.8%
Power Play
46.1% (76)
50.0% (62)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (131)
50.0% (4)
-3.4%
On power play, Gagner has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Eller is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (302).
Eller shoots left. Gagner is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (342).
Home / Away
Eller
Gagner
Home
51.4% (465)
49.4% (267)
Away
47.3% (491)
45.4% (194)
By Period
Eller
Gagner
P1
47.9%
47.5%
P2
51.6%
48.5%
P3
47.7%
48.1%
OT
62.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.4%
58.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.3%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2018 | 3 | 18:32 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 9, 2018 | 2 | 16:55 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 9, 2018 | 2 | 02:13 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 9, 2018 | 1 | 18:39 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 9, 2018 | 1 | 08:23 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 26, 2017 | 3 | 18:26 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 26, 2017 | 1 | 16:34 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |