Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Scheifele wins 37.1% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 43.1% vs Gagner 47.1% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 68.4%
Defensive zone
Gagner 66.8%
Neutral zone
Gagner 57.0%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 66.3%
33.7%
66.3%
Scheifele
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Scheifele
Gagner
Last 6: Scheifele 4-2 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Scheifele
Gagner
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
1
0
Scheifele
Gagner
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
1
0
Scheifele
Gagner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
41.2% (655)
45.9% (815)
-4.7%
Power Play
46.8% (126)
55.3% (132)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
25.0% (16)
+25.0%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Scheifele is 37.1% vs right-shot opponents (240).
Scheifele shoots right. Gagner is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (308).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Gagner
Home
45.9% (394)
48.7% (542)
Away
38.4% (391)
44.4% (421)
By Period
Scheifele
Gagner
P1
44.7%
45.1%
P2
42.2%
46.6%
P3
39.7%
49.7%
OT
36.4%
25.0%
Final 5 min
42.4%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
42.2%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2014 | 2 | 11:02 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 2 | 04:16 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 2 | 04:01 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 1 | 06:57 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 3 | 15:08 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 3 | 01:36 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |