Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Zibanejad wins 45.2% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 48.9% vs Gagner 47.2% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 67.5%
Defensive zone
Gagner 55.4%
Neutral zone
Gagner 61.2%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 63.1%
36.9%
63.1%
Zibanejad
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Zibanejad
Gagner
Last 7: Zibanejad 1-6 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
3
Zibanejad
Gagner
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
1
Zibanejad
Gagner
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gagner
1
2
Zibanejad
Gagner
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (1,031)
45.6% (651)
+3.5%
Power Play
47.5% (200)
53.8% (119)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (30)
0.0% (1)
+46.7%
On penalty kill, Zibanejad has a +46.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Zibanejad is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (427).
Zibanejad shoots right. Gagner is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (283).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Gagner
Home
52.0% (658)
47.1% (367)
Away
45.3% (603)
46.5% (404)
By Period
Zibanejad
Gagner
P1
48.0%
49.6%
P2
53.2%
47.9%
P3
45.8%
43.4%
OT
41.7%
43.8%
Final 5 min
45.5%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
46.0%▼
54.0%
48.8%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2015 | 3 | 05:16 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 31, 2015 | 3 | 05:09 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 31, 2015 | 3 | 04:56 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 31, 2015 | 1 | 09:34 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 31, 2015 | 1 | 01:09 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 2 | 14:53 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 2 | 09:21 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |