Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.0% vs 45.9%). Lucic wins 44.5% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lucic 46.6% vs Gagner 46.0% (+0.1%)
Offensive zone
Lucic 65.7%
Defensive zone
Gagner 63.4%
Neutral zone
Lucic 50.0%
Result
Milan Lucic favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Lucic
Gagner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lucic
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (401)
45.4% (4,699)
-1.0%
Power Play
49.5% (198)
51.5% (928)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
35.0% (226)
-1.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Lucic is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (265).
Lucic shoots left. Gagner is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,184).
Home / Away
Lucic
Gagner
Home
48.3% (317)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
43.5% (285)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Lucic
Gagner
P1
41.3%
44.6%
P2
47.9%
46.1%
P3
50.3%
47.3%
OT
40.0%
42.0%
Final 5 min
42.6%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lucic
46.0%▬
45.5%
46.0%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%