Scouting Report
Rickard Rakell holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rakell 49.3% vs Gagner 47.1% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 68.2%
Defensive zone
Rakell 52.7%
Neutral zone
Gagner 57.0%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 60.9%
39.1%
60.9%
Rakell
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Rakell
Gagner
Last 9: Rakell 3-6 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
1
3
Rakell
Gagner
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rakell
1
0
Rakell
Gagner
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gagner
1
3
Rakell
Gagner
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rakell
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (190)
45.9% (815)
+4.1%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
55.3% (132)
-55.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
25.0% (16)
-25.0%
On power play, Gagner has a +55.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Rakell is 52.3% vs right-shot opponents (65).
Rakell shoots right. Gagner is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (308).
Home / Away
Rakell
Gagner
Home
46.3% (82)
48.7% (542)
Away
50.9% (112)
44.4% (421)
By Period
Rakell
Gagner
P1
49.2%
45.1%
P2
52.9%
46.6%
P3
44.6%
49.7%
Final 5 min
47.8%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rakell
40.0%▲
37.0%
49.0%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2014 | 3 | 19:57 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 6, 2014 | 3 | 19:46 | Neutral | Rickard Rakell |
| Apr 6, 2014 | 2 | 15:40 | Defensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Apr 6, 2014 | 2 | 04:37 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 6, 2014 | 2 | 01:35 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 6, 2014 | 1 | 06:47 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 2, 2014 | 3 | 18:39 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 2, 2014 | 2 | 06:07 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 28, 2014 | 1 | 17:35 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |