Scouting Report
Rod Pelley holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Pelley on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pelley 49.4% vs Gagner 47.9% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 53.4%
Defensive zone
Pelley 63.6%
Neutral zone
Pelley 58.6%
Result
Rod Pelley favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Pelley
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Pelley
Gagner
Last 6: Pelley 4-2 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pelley
Gagner
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pelley
1
0
Pelley
Gagner
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pelley
2
1
Pelley
Gagner
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pelley
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (232)
47.6% (599)
+2.0%
Power Play
0.0% (4)
47.7% (86)
-47.7%
Penalty Kill
53.3% (15)
60.0% (5)
-6.7%
On power play, Gagner has a +47.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Pelley is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (86).
Pelley shoots left. Gagner is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (515).
Home / Away
Pelley
Gagner
Home
50.0% (94)
49.5% (331)
Away
48.8% (160)
45.9% (370)
By Period
Pelley
Gagner
P1
46.0%
47.7%
P2
49.0%
43.9%
P3
55.6%
51.8%
Final 5 min
50.0%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pelley
50.0%▬
49.0%
49.2%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2012 | 2 | 19:27 | Offensive | Rod Pelley |
| Mar 5, 2012 | 3 | 19:02 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 5, 2012 | 3 | 18:46 | Neutral | Rod Pelley |
| Mar 5, 2012 | 3 | 04:52 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 5, 2012 | 3 | 01:56 | Neutral | Rod Pelley |
| Mar 5, 2012 | 2 | 10:08 | Defensive | Rod Pelley |