Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gagner 47.9% vs Smith 45.9% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smith 50.2%
Defensive zone
Smith 65.4%
Neutral zone
Smith 54.7%
Result
Trevor Smith favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Gagner
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Gagner
Smith
Last 5: Gagner 1-4 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
1
Gagner
Smith
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
1
Gagner
Smith
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
1
2
Gagner
Smith
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gagner
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (599)
39.7% (68)
+7.9%
Power Play
47.7% (86)
66.7% (6)
-19.0%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
25.0% (8)
+35.0%
On penalty kill, Gagner has a +35.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Gagner is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (515).
Gagner shoots right. Smith is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (35).
Home / Away
Gagner
Smith
Home
49.5% (331)
50.0% (44)
Away
45.9% (370)
30.8% (39)
By Period
Gagner
Smith
P1
47.7%
41.9%
P2
43.9%
40.0%
P3
51.8%
40.7%
Final 5 min
45.0%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
47.6%
Smith
46.0%▼
52.0%
41.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2012 | 2 | 16:48 | Defensive | Trevor Smith |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 2 | 03:24 | Neutral | Trevor Smith |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 1 | 00:09 | Offensive | Trevor Smith |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Trevor Smith |