Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on defensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gagner 46.0% vs Bozak 53.4% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 16-11 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Gagner 70.8%
Defensive zone
Gagner 77.5%
Neutral zone
Gagner 75.1%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 74.6%
74.6%
25.4%
Gagner
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
16
(27 meetings)
11
16
Gagner
Bozak
Last 10: Gagner 4-6 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
4
5
Gagner
Bozak
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
4
7
Gagner
Bozak
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
3
4
Gagner
Bozak
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gagner
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (4,699)
53.7% (9,596)
-8.3%
Power Play
51.5% (928)
55.2% (1,990)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (226)
48.0% (1,094)
-13.0%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Gagner is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,684).
Gagner shoots right. Bozak is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (4,312).
Home / Away
Gagner
Bozak
Home
48.7% (3,025)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
43.0% (2,843)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Gagner
Bozak
P1
44.6%
53.2%
P2
46.1%
52.8%
P3
47.3%
54.5%
OT
42.0%
52.9%
Final 5 min
45.4%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 11:50 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 3 | 10:16 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 3 | 08:09 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 2 | 17:57 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 2 | 06:57 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 2 | 02:03 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 1 | 13:26 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 1 | 13:19 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 22, 2017 | 3 | 00:26 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 22, 2017 | 2 | 06:26 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 22, 2017 | 1 | 08:55 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 29, 2015 | 2 | 12:04 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 29, 2015 | 1 | 00:42 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 3 | 04:49 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 15, 2012 | 2 | 18:29 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 15, 2012 | 2 | 16:12 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 15, 2012 | 2 | 08:15 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 14, 2010 | 3 | 14:56 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 14, 2010 | 3 | 03:18 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 14, 2010 | 2 | 17:38 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |