Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Gagner wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gagner 47.5% vs Bozak 46.2% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 54.6%
Defensive zone
Gagner 61.9%
Neutral zone
Gagner 53.7%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 61.9%
61.9%
38.1%
Gagner
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Gagner
Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
1
0
Gagner
Bozak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gagner
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (158)
46.7% (338)
+4.6%
Power Play
66.7% (36)
50.0% (6)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
33.6% (110)
32.6% (43)
+1.0%
On power play, Gagner has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Gagner is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (64).
Gagner shoots right. Bozak is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Home / Away
Gagner
Bozak
Home
53.2% (154)
47.9% (194)
Away
40.0% (150)
42.5% (193)
By Period
Gagner
Bozak
P1
35.6%
40.2%
P2
52.7%
51.4%
P3
51.9%
43.1%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
34.5%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.7%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 11:50 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |