Scouting Report
Vernon Fiddler holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Fiddler on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Gagner wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Fiddler shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gagner 47.2% vs Fiddler 51.7% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 95.7%
Defensive zone
Gagner 55.8%
Neutral zone
Gagner 78.0%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 65.6%
65.6%
34.4%
Gagner
Fiddler
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
8
(9 meetings)
1
8
Gagner
Fiddler
Last 9: Gagner 1-8 Fiddler
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fiddler
0
5
Gagner
Fiddler
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fiddler
1
3
Gagner
Fiddler
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gagner
Fiddler
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (651)
51.8% (819)
-6.2%
Power Play
53.8% (119)
37.9% (29)
+15.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
53.8% (249)
-53.8%
On penalty kill, Fiddler has a +53.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fiddler shoots left. Gagner is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (488).
Gagner shoots right. Fiddler is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (376).
Home / Away
Gagner
Fiddler
Home
47.1% (367)
51.1% (546)
Away
46.5% (404)
52.6% (551)
By Period
Gagner
Fiddler
P1
49.6%
51.3%
P2
47.9%
53.7%
P3
43.4%
51.3%
OT
43.8%
22.2%
Final 5 min
48.6%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.8%
Fiddler
54.0%▼
58.5%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2014 | 3 | 01:06 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 3 | 00:58 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 3 | 00:52 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 1 | 08:39 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 3 | 16:17 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 2 | 07:31 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 2 | 07:25 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 1 | 14:10 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 1 | 02:37 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |