Scouting Report
Vernon Fiddler holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Fiddler on defensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 19 meetings). Gagner wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Fiddler shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gagner 46.0% vs Fiddler 52.1% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Fiddler leads 34-19 in 53 meetings
Offensive zone
Gagner 95.6%
Defensive zone
Gagner 75.6%
Neutral zone
Gagner 91.0%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 87.2%
87.2%
12.8%
Gagner
Fiddler
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
34
(53 meetings)
19
34
Gagner
Fiddler
Last 10: Gagner 1-9 Fiddler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
13
7
Gagner
Fiddler
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fiddler
2
17
Gagner
Fiddler
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fiddler
4
10
Gagner
Fiddler
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gagner
Fiddler
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (4,699)
53.7% (4,899)
-8.3%
Power Play
51.5% (928)
50.0% (154)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (226)
46.9% (1,479)
-11.9%
On penalty kill, Fiddler has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fiddler shoots left. Gagner is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,184).
Gagner shoots right. Fiddler is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,195).
Home / Away
Gagner
Fiddler
Home
48.7% (3,025)
53.1% (3,191)
Away
43.0% (2,843)
51.2% (3,366)
By Period
Gagner
Fiddler
P1
44.6%
52.1%
P2
46.1%
52.6%
P3
47.3%
52.0%
OT
42.0%
46.0%
Final 5 min
45.4%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Fiddler
54.0%▼
58.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2017 | 1 | 02:24 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 3 | 01:06 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 3 | 00:58 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 3 | 00:52 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 1 | 08:39 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 3 | 16:17 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 2 | 07:31 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 2 | 07:25 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 1 | 14:10 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 1 | 02:37 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 3 | 04:55 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 1 | 05:54 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 1, 2013 | 3 | 07:18 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 1, 2013 | 3 | 00:22 | Offensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 1, 2013 | 1 | 03:59 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 1, 2013 | 1 | 01:14 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Nov 13, 2013 | 3 | 16:56 | Offensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Nov 13, 2013 | 3 | 05:02 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Nov 13, 2013 | 2 | 15:47 | Offensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 2 | 16:13 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |