Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Gagner wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gagner 46.0% vs Gourde 48.2% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 79.1%
Defensive zone
Gourde 51.5%
Neutral zone
Gagner 61.6%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 61.6%
61.6%
38.4%
Gagner
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Gagner
Gourde
Last 7: Gagner 2-5 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
3
Gagner
Gourde
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Gagner
Gourde
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gagner
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (4,699)
48.4% (4,954)
-3.0%
Power Play
51.5% (928)
57.4% (376)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (226)
39.9% (554)
-4.9%
On power play, Gourde has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Gagner is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,184).
Gagner shoots right. Gourde is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,937).
Home / Away
Gagner
Gourde
Home
48.7% (3,025)
49.3% (2,915)
Away
43.0% (2,843)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Gagner
Gourde
P1
44.6%
49.9%
P2
46.1%
47.4%
P3
47.3%
47.5%
OT
42.0%
37.0%
Final 5 min
45.4%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2021 | 2 | 16:58 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| May 2, 2021 | 1 | 06:24 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| May 1, 2021 | 2 | 16:05 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 9, 2021 | OT | 01:39 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 3 | 06:33 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 2 | 05:54 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 3, 2021 | 3 | 18:13 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |