Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Gagner wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gagner 47.5% vs Gourde 49.5% (-2.8%)
Offensive zone
Gourde 59.1%
Defensive zone
Gagner 64.7%
Neutral zone
Gagner 51.2%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Gagner
Gourde
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gagner
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (158)
49.1% (731)
+2.2%
Power Play
66.7% (36)
54.3% (81)
+12.4%
Penalty Kill
33.6% (110)
48.2% (85)
-14.6%
On penalty kill, Gourde has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Gagner is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (240).
Gagner shoots right. Gourde is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Gagner
Gourde
Home
53.2% (154)
50.9% (479)
Away
40.0% (150)
47.8% (418)
By Period
Gagner
Gourde
P1
35.6%
51.2%
P2
52.7%
49.8%
P3
51.9%
47.5%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
34.5%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.7%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.5%