Scouting Report
Zemgus Girgensons holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Gagner wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gagner 47.5% vs Girgensons 49.9% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Girgensons 63.2%
Defensive zone
Girgensons 58.3%
Neutral zone
Girgensons 53.9%
Result
Zemgus Girgensons favored at 63.2%
36.8%
63.2%
Gagner
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Gagner
Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
1
0
Gagner
Girgensons
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gagner
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (158)
49.0% (210)
+2.3%
Power Play
66.7% (36)
63.6% (22)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
33.6% (110)
47.3% (55)
-13.7%
On penalty kill, Girgensons has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Gagner is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (240).
Gagner shoots right. Girgensons is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (114).
Home / Away
Gagner
Girgensons
Home
53.2% (154)
52.1% (142)
Away
40.0% (150)
47.6% (145)
By Period
Gagner
Girgensons
P1
35.6%
54.3%
P2
52.7%
49.1%
P3
51.9%
44.8%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
34.5%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.7%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2021 | 3 | 17:11 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |