Scouting Report
Sam Lafferty holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Lafferty wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Boyd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lafferty 50.9% vs Boyd 43.9% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lafferty 53.7%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 87.0%
Neutral zone
Lafferty 71.0%
Result
Sam Lafferty favored at 72.6%
72.6%
27.4%
Lafferty
Boyd
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Lafferty
Boyd
Last 9: Lafferty 6-3 Boyd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lafferty
1
0
Lafferty
Boyd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lafferty
2
0
Lafferty
Boyd
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Lafferty
Boyd
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lafferty
Boyd
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (366)
43.4% (893)
+8.8%
Power Play
60.0% (15)
51.5% (136)
+8.5%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (104)
34.6% (127)
+11.6%
On penalty kill, Lafferty has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyd shoots right. Lafferty is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (122).
Lafferty shoots right. Boyd is 41.3% vs right-shot opponents (351).
Home / Away
Lafferty
Boyd
Home
53.1% (258)
46.0% (570)
Away
48.9% (227)
41.0% (586)
By Period
Lafferty
Boyd
P1
52.5%
38.9%
P2
49.7%
50.4%
P3
51.3%
41.1%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
51.1%
Boyd
50.0%▲
48.0%
43.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2023 | 3 | 14:34 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 3 | 05:02 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 2 | 02:16 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 2 | 02:11 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 1 | 05:06 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 1 | 01:28 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 3 | 06:49 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 3 | 06:20 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 2 | 08:33 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |