Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Lafferty wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lafferty 50.9% vs Trocheck 55.6% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 70.3%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 78.9%
Neutral zone
Lafferty 52.9%
Result
Sam Lafferty favored at 78.9%
78.9%
21.1%
Lafferty
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Lafferty
Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
Lafferty
Trocheck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lafferty
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (366)
55.0% (956)
-2.8%
Power Play
60.0% (15)
59.8% (266)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (104)
56.3% (64)
-10.1%
On penalty kill, Trocheck has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Lafferty is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (122).
Lafferty shoots right. Trocheck is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (406).
Home / Away
Lafferty
Trocheck
Home
53.1% (258)
57.7% (673)
Away
48.9% (227)
54.3% (613)
By Period
Lafferty
Trocheck
P1
52.5%
55.4%
P2
49.7%
55.6%
P3
51.3%
56.4%
OT
33.3%
83.3%
Final 5 min
49.6%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
51.1%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2022 | 3 | 18:03 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |