Scouting Report
Sam Lafferty holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Lafferty wins 43.7% vs left-shot opponents — Sanford shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lafferty 43.9% vs Sanford 42.0% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lafferty 67.9%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 76.8%
Neutral zone
Lafferty 70.8%
Result
Sam Lafferty favored at 70.8%
70.8%
29.2%
Lafferty
Sanford
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Lafferty
Sanford
Last 5: Lafferty 4-1 Sanford
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lafferty
2
0
Lafferty
Sanford
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sanford
0
1
Lafferty
Sanford
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lafferty
2
0
Lafferty
Sanford
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lafferty
Sanford
Edge
Even Strength
42.6% (324)
34.7% (118)
+7.9%
Power Play
31.3% (16)
100.0% (1)
-68.7%
On power play, Sanford has a +68.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sanford shoots left. Lafferty is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (268).
Lafferty shoots right. Sanford is 38.3% vs right-shot opponents (47).
Home / Away
Lafferty
Sanford
Home
40.9% (181)
32.9% (73)
Away
43.4% (175)
39.1% (46)
By Period
Lafferty
Sanford
P1
42.2%
27.0%
P2
36.4%
34.9%
P3
48.6%
43.6%
Final 5 min
37.2%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
42.1%
Sanford
36.0%▬
35.0%
35.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 16:43 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 10:51 | Defensive | Zachary Sanford |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 1 | 02:44 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 3 | 02:22 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 1 | 01:47 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |